Sports betting can sometimes be difficult and frustrating and golf betting is no exception. Bettors must be up-to-date with all the major events and there are so many different names and variables on the odds sheet that it can be hard to keep track. Additionally, the top players and courses for important tournaments change each year. Another difficult aspect is finding high-quality betting sites, where you’ll find great betting offers.
Throughout this article, we’ve put together a useful list of golf betting tips that will give you a head start.
Celebrity golfers are rarely worth the hype and the money
If you are relatively new to golf betting, it is essential to avoid making the same mistakes as most beginners. When bettors have insufficient information, they tend to make random bets. These bets can cancel each other out and have little to no impact on the market as a while. When sports bettors focus on just one or two players, and regardless of their performances, they will keep betting on them, the market can be affected negatively and the value of the players can decline.
This phenomenon can be seen at all major tournaments when popular golfers like Rickie Fowler and Tiger Woods participate. Tiger Woods is a legend. He made golf a mainstream sport and had a long period of massive growth and domination. However, it is important to mention that Tiger Woods spent a lot of time on the golf course, but outside the winners’ circle.
Another golf fan-favorite is Rickie Fowler who became known as the flat-brim hat and bright clothing guy. He is like a breath of fresh air for golf enthusiasts and he inspires a lot of bettors. Like Tiger Woods, Fowler has attracted a lot of sponsors and, as expected, his popularity attracted a substantial betting volume.
The problem with these bets is the fact that Tiger Woods had a 5-years gap between two major victories and Fowler isn’t nearly as talented as Martin Kaymer, or other veteran golfers. Therefore, when bettors’ money starts to pour in for these two celebrities, they are pushed to the top of the odds sheet. Did you know that during the 2018 Masters, Tiger Woods was people’s favorite despite his rather disappointing performances of late?
Now, we are not saying that popular players are not great players, but due to their fame, assessing their real chances proves to be very difficult for most inexperienced betters. It is nearly impossible to find what the true value of Woods and Fowler are.
That being said, it’s much easier to find value betting against Woods and Fowler. We recommend doing a lot of research before making your bets and always check the players’ recent performances.
Avoid using the Official World Golf Rankings as a betting tool
There are many different ways to evaluate and calculate the relative value of golf players. If you are a golf betting beginner, you will probably be tempted to use the Official World Golf Rankings as a betting tool, which is not a good idea.
The OWGR is an arbitrary list dreamed up by influential sports agents and meant to promote their clients. This list was co-opted by The Open out of convenience and later even received the name ‘Official’. While this ranking list does a great job at ensuring that a tournament field was rich in big names, it fails to assess the quality of players correctly. In other words, the OWGR was designed to sound official, but it cannot be used to predict the outcome of tournaments, because it was never meant to.
Consider the Course
A while back, the best golfers really were the best golfers and they would win PGA Tour events at a constant rate, regardless of course. Back in 2000, Tiger Woods had a win rate of about 30 to 40 percent regardless of the course and condition. Of course, courses would differ but the skill differences were so vast that they couldn’t be influenced by course layout advantages.
But things have changed, and because golf has become a much more popular sport, we’ve seen an explosion in youth participation. Now, the wildly-talented golfing millennials are dominating the top end of the rankings and they all have impressive skills. Therefore, the only things that might make a difference for these amazing golfers are exceptional conditions of the course layout.
To be a successful golf better, it’s important to learn the ways in which a certain golfer likes to work the ball of the tee and how the layout might give him an advantage or a disadvantage. Furthermore, some courses are significantly longer than others, so in order to see who will have the easiest shots; it’s a good idea to look at the Strokes Gained off-the-tee.
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